Race Picks for 03/15/2026

See Race Picks Methodology for details on how these predictions are generated.

Alpine

Biathlon

Single Mixed Relay

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Nation RaceType Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
POL Single Mixed Relay 4.20 11.60 19.10 37.60 100
ITA Single Mixed Relay 4.10 11 18.20 37.40 100
AUT Single Mixed Relay 4 11.50 19 37.10 100
CZE Single Mixed Relay 4 11.70 18.90 37.50 100
CRO Single Mixed Relay 3.90 11.10 18.90 37.20 100
SWE Single Mixed Relay 3.80 11.20 18.50 37.60 100
LTU Single Mixed Relay 3.80 11.40 18.60 37.30 100
EST Single Mixed Relay 3.80 11.30 18.40 36.10 100
SLO Single Mixed Relay 3.80 11.20 18.70 37.80 100
FIN Single Mixed Relay 3.80 11.30 18.70 37.40 100
UKR Single Mixed Relay 3.70 10.70 18.20 36.40 100
GRL Single Mixed Relay 3.70 11.60 18.90 37.40 100
SUI Single Mixed Relay 3.70 10.70 18.60 37.10 100
GER Single Mixed Relay 3.70 11.30 18.50 36.60 100
GBR Single Mixed Relay 3.70 10.90 18.10 36.70 100
USA Single Mixed Relay 3.60 10.90 18.10 36.70 100
MDA Single Mixed Relay 3.60 10.80 18.60 36.80 100
CAN Single Mixed Relay 3.60 11.10 18.60 37 100
LAT Single Mixed Relay 3.60 11.10 18.60 37.30 100
KAZ Single Mixed Relay 3.60 10.90 18.20 36.50 100
BUL Single Mixed Relay 3.60 10.70 17.80 36.30 100
FRA Single Mixed Relay 3.50 11.30 18.70 37.50 100
SVK Single Mixed Relay 3.50 11 18.50 37.30 100
DEN Single Mixed Relay 3.50 11 18 36.10 100
NOR Single Mixed Relay 3.40 11.20 18.50 37.20 100
ROU Single Mixed Relay 3.40 10.90 18.80 37.80 100
BEL Single Mixed Relay 3.30 10.50 18.30 36.30 100

Mixed Relay

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Nation RaceType Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
BUL Mixed Relay 4.60 12.30 20.50 41.70 100
SLO Mixed Relay 4.60 13.20 21.60 41.50 100
CZE Mixed Relay 4.50 12.70 21.20 41.60 100
SWE Mixed Relay 4.50 12.80 21.30 42.70 100
KAZ Mixed Relay 4.40 12.90 21.40 42.80 100
ROU Mixed Relay 4.30 12.80 21.50 41.80 100
LTU Mixed Relay 4.20 12.60 21.10 41 100
MDA Mixed Relay 4.20 12.30 20.60 42.20 100
POL Mixed Relay 4.20 12.80 21 42.40 100
AUT Mixed Relay 4.20 12.50 21.50 42.60 100
GBR Mixed Relay 4.10 12.50 20.30 41.40 100
FIN Mixed Relay 4.10 12.70 21.10 42.10 100
ITA Mixed Relay 4.10 12.40 20.60 41.50 100
GER Mixed Relay 4.10 11.80 19.60 40.40 100
SUI Mixed Relay 4.10 12.10 20.50 41.30 100
USA Mixed Relay 4.10 12.80 21.30 41.80 100
CAN Mixed Relay 4 12.50 20.80 41.30 100
LAT Mixed Relay 4 12.50 20.60 40.70 100
BEL Mixed Relay 4 12.60 20.60 41.30 100
UKR Mixed Relay 4 12.50 20.80 41.70 100
FRA Mixed Relay 4 12.30 20.40 41 100
SVK Mixed Relay 4 12.40 21.10 42.20 100
NOR Mixed Relay 3.80 12 20.20 40.80 100
EST Mixed Relay 3.70 12 20.50 42.10 100

Nordic Combined

Men

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Skier Nation Participation Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
Jens Lurås Oftebro NOR 100 44.40 79 90.60 98.50 100
Johannes Lamparter AUT 100 30.40 76.90 91.40 99.40 100
Einar Lurås Oftebro NOR 100 7.60 31 52.60 83.90 99.50
Ilkka Herola FIN 100 3.50 23.60 51.40 89.10 99.90
Julian Schmid GER 100 3.50 17.50 35.30 71.50 98.20
Vinzenz Geiger GER 100 3.40 17.70 35.40 71.80 98.40
Stefan Rettenegger AUT 100 3.30 17.20 34.60 69.90 98.30
Andreas Skoglund NOR 100 1.50 9.40 22.80 58.10 96.70
Johannes Rydzek GER 100 1 11.50 31.60 77.30 99.80
Franz-Josef Rehrl AUT 100 0.60 4.50 12.50 39.70 91.30
Thomas Rettenegger AUT 100 0.40 5.10 17 61.30 99.10
Eero Hirvonen FIN 100 0.40 3.50 10.10 37.80 91.30
Kristjan Ilves EST 100 0.10 2 7.90 41.50 97.60
Richard Stenzel GER 100 0 0.20 0.70 9 79.10
Akito Watabe JPN 100 0 0 0.20 4.60 66.80
Fabio Obermeyr AUT 100 0 0.20 1.50 15.40 86.10
David Mach GER 100 0 0.10 0.60 7.30 74.50
Ryota Yamamoto JPN 100 0 0 0.40 5.90 71.50
Laurent Muhlethaler FRA 100 0 0.10 0.50 6.10 69.90
Niklas Malacinski USA 100 0 0 0.40 5.90 70.20
Simon Mach GER 100 0 0 0.20 5.10 68.10
Espen Andersen NOR 100 0 0 0.20 4.40 64.60
Paul Walcher AUT 100 0 0 0.10 3.60 61.60
Aleksander Skoglund NOR 100 0 0 0.20 3.50 62.20
Eidar Johan Strøm NOR 100 0 0 0.10 2.90 58.50
Aaron Kostner ITA 100 0 0 0.10 2.80 57.60
Sverre Kumar Lundeby NOR 100 0 0 0.10 2.60 56.70
Marco Heinis FRA 100 0 0 0.10 2.30 54.70
Otto Niittykoski FIN 100 0 0.20 0.80 6.50 52.40
Mael Tyrode FRA 100 0 0 0 1.60 48.50
Vid Vrhovnik SLO 100 0 0 0 1.30 45.20
Wille Karhumaa FIN 100 0 0 0.10 1.10 42.60
Kasper Moen Flatla NOR 100 0 0 0 0.90 41.20
Jiri Konvalinka CZE 100 0 0 0 0.90 40
Alessandro Pittin ITA 100 0 0 0 1 38
Jan Vytrval CZE 100 0 0 0.10 0.90 36.90
Even Leinan Lund NOR 100 0 0 0 0.50 29
Edgar Vallet FRA 100 0 0 0 0.40 28.20
Lukas Dolezal CZE 100 0 0 0 0.40 26.50
Jens Dahlseide Kvamme NOR 100 0 0 0 0.30 27.10
Herman Happonen FIN 100 0 0 0 0.30 25.70
Kaisei Mori JPN 100 0 0 0 0.40 24.30
Gašper Brecl SLO 100 0 0 0 0.30 24.50
Yoshito Watabe JPN 100 0 0 0 0.30 23.80
Kodai Kimura JPN 100 0 0 0 0.30 22
Jørgen Berget Storsveen NOR 100 0 0 0 0.20 20.30
Erik Lynch USA 100 0 0 0 0.20 20
Domenico Mariotti ITA 100 0 0 0 0.20 19.50
Shogo Azegami JPN 100 0 0 0 0.10 18.90
Henry Johnstone USA 100 0 0 0 0.20 19
Carter Brubaker USA 100 0 0 0 0.20 18.40
Iacopo Bortolas ITA 100 0 0 0 0.20 18.20
Matic Garbajs SLO 100 0 0 0 0.10 17.60

Ladies

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Skier Nation Participation Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
Ida Marie Hagen NOR 100 73.50 96.90 99.50 100 100
Minja Korhonen FIN 100 9.70 47.70 69.10 89.80 100
Alexa Brabec USA 100 8.20 48.30 71.50 92.20 100
Nathalie Armbruster GER 100 5.70 45.80 72.30 94.40 100
Yuna Kasai JPN 100 0.70 14.10 37.20 76.60 100
Ingrid LÃ¥te NOR 100 0.70 8.50 20.30 49.30 100
Ema Volavsek SLO 100 0.60 11.70 31.90 71.60 100
Marte Leinan Lund NOR 100 0.30 6.30 20.10 59.40 100
Tara Geraghty-Moats USA 100 0.30 6.20 17.80 51.50 100
Katharina Gruber AUT 100 0.20 5.60 18.70 56.90 100
Jenny Nowak GER 100 0.10 2 7.90 35.20 100
HIRNER Lisa AUT 100 0.10 1.40 5.90 29.60 100
Heta Hirvonen FIN 100 0 1.60 6.40 30.90 100
Annika Malacinski USA 100 0 0.70 3.50 22.30 100
Léna Brocard FRA 100 0 1 4.90 27.70 100
Claudia Purker AUT 100 0 0.70 3.20 21.50 100
Trine Göpfert GER 100 0 0.20 0.80 8.50 100
Teja Pavec SLO 100 0 0.50 3 20.30 100
Yuzuki Kainuma JPN 100 0 0.40 2 15.30 100
Tia Malovrh SLO 100 0 0.10 1.40 13.30 100
Ronja Loh GER 100 0 0.10 0.70 7.50 100
Mille Marie Hagen NOR 100 0 0.10 0.60 6.70 100
Annalena Slamik AUT 100 0 0 0.20 3.80 100
Lily Grossmann GER 100 0 0 0.30 3.60 100
Hanna Midtsundstad NOR 100 0 0 0.20 2.90 100
Ingrid Græsli NOR 100 0 0 0.20 2.60 100
Romane Baud FRA 100 0 0 0.10 2.40 100
Anna Kerko FIN 100 0 0 0.10 1.70 100
Nora Helene Evans NOR 100 0 0 0.10 1.50 100
Jolana Hradilova CZE 100 0 0 0 0.70 100

Skijump

Men

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Skier Nation Participation Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
Domen Prevc SLO 100 67.20 90.50 95.90 99 100
Ryoyu Kobayashi JPN 100 10.90 44.50 62.10 82.10 98
Ren Nikaido JPN 100 7.10 34.90 52.40 74.70 96.70
Felix Hoffmann GER 100 2.50 17 30.60 54.50 90
Daniel Tschofenig AUT 100 2.20 14.70 27.30 51.90 88.90
Philipp Raimund GER 100 2.10 13.90 26.30 50.10 87.90
Stephan Embacher AUT 100 1.60 12.90 24.60 47.40 87.10
Anze Lanisek SLO 100 1.40 10.40 21.10 41.80 83.90
Stefan Kraft AUT 100 0.80 8 16 35.70 78.70
Manuel Fettner AUT 100 0.40 5.30 11.70 28.40 72.10
Johann Forfang NOR 100 0.40 3.50 8.70 23 66.90
Vladimir Zografski BUL 100 0.40 3.10 7.30 20.10 62.90
Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal NOR 100 0.30 2.90 7.20 19 62
Naoki Nakamura JPN 100 0.30 3.50 8 21.80 65.40
Jonas Schuster AUT 100 0.30 2.80 6.70 19.10 62.60
Halvor Egner Granerud NOR 100 0.20 1.90 5.30 15.30 55.90
Kacper Tomasiak POL 100 0.20 3.10 7.50 19.70 62.80
Maximilian Ortner AUT 100 0.20 1.70 4.50 14.10 53.20
Valentin Foubert FRA 100 0.10 1.20 3.60 11.30 49.10
Lukas Haagen AUT 100 0.10 1.40 3.70 12.40 50.80
Pius Paschke GER 100 0.10 0.90 2.60 8.90 43.90
Piotr Zyla POL 100 0.10 1.30 3.20 10.10 44.40
Gregor Deschwanden SUI 100 0.10 0.60 1.80 6.70 37.90
Niko Kytösaho FIN 100 0 0.70 2.10 7.60 40.90
Kamil Stoch POL 100 0 0.90 2.10 7.30 39.30
Yukiya Sato JPN 100 0 0.60 1.90 7 38.20
Maciej Kot POL 100 0 0.70 2 6.30 36.70
Aleksander Zniszczol POL 100 0 0.50 1.60 5.80 34
Pawel Wasek POL 100 0 0.50 1.60 5.70 34
Giovanni Bresadola ITA 100 0 0.40 0.90 3.90 28.30
Oddvar Gunnerød NOR 100 0 1.30 3.60 11.10 47.40
Antti Aalto FIN 100 0 0.80 2.30 8.50 41.50
Robin Pedersen NOR 100 0 0.40 1.50 6.20 36
Kevin Bickner USA 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.80 33.40
Ilya Mizernykh KAZ 100 0 0.40 1.40 5.20 31.70
Ben Bayer GER 100 0 0.40 1.40 4.90 30.90
Alex Insam ITA 100 0 0.40 1.30 4.70 30.60
Sindre Ulven Jørgensen NOR 100 0 0.40 1.10 4.80 30.30
Vitaliy Kalinichenko UKR 100 0 0.30 0.90 3.70 28.30
Jørgen Oliver Strøm NOR 100 0 1.20 3.30 9.40 45.10
Artti Aigro EST 100 0 0.70 2 7.60 40
Andreas Wellinger GER 100 0 0.60 1.60 5.80 33.80
Simon Ammann SUI 100 0 0.40 1 4.90 30.90
Juri Kesseli SUI 100 0 0.20 1.10 4.40 29.90
Svyatoslav Nazarenko KAZ 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.60 29.80
Benjamin Østvold NOR 100 0 0.60 2.10 7.80 40.30
Tomofumi Naito JPN 100 0 0.70 2.20 7.70 39.10
Sandro Hauswirth SUI 100 0 0.60 2 7.10 39
Karl Geiger GER 100 0 0.40 1.50 5.60 34.50
Isak Andreas Langmo NOR 100 0 0.40 1.50 5.70 33.70
Rok Oblak SLO 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.80 31.30
Hektor Kapustik SVK 100 0 0.30 1.20 4.50 30.60
Zak Mogel SLO 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.60 30.40
Yevhen Marusiak UKR 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.30 30
Jules Chervet FRA 100 0 0.20 0.80 3.90 28.10
Tate Frantz USA 100 0 0.30 0.90 3.80 27.60
Eetu Nousiainen FIN 100 0 0.30 0.90 3.90 26.90
Andrew Urlaub USA 100 0 0.30 0.90 3.90 26.80
Vilho Palosaari FIN 100 0 0.20 0.70 3.50 26.30
Francesco Cecon ITA 100 0 0.20 0.90 3.60 26.80
Ziga Jancar SLO 100 0 0.40 1.50 5.80 35.10
Roman Koudelka CZE 100 0 0.40 1.20 5.40 33.30
Felix Trunz SUI 100 0 0.40 1.20 4.50 30.20
Adrian Thon Gundersrud NOR 100 0 0.20 0.90 4.20 29.90
Enzo Milesi FRA 100 0 0.30 1 4.20 28.30

Ladies

Position Probabilities

Race 1
Skier Nation Participation Win Podium Top-5 Top-10 Top-30
Nika Prevc SLO 100 63.20 89.20 95.40 99.10 100
Anna Odine Strøm NOR 100 13 48.80 67.30 87.50 99.50
Nozomi Maruyama JPN 100 9.10 39.50 58.60 82.40 99.20
Abigail Strate CAN 100 3.40 22.70 40.90 68 97.30
Eirin Maria Kvandal NOR 100 3.30 20.60 37.50 65.30 97
Selina Freitag GER 100 2.30 15.60 30.20 57.10 94.60
Agnes Reisch GER 100 1 9.80 21.20 47.10 91.50
Lisa Eder AUT 100 1 7.30 16.10 39.60 88.10
Heidi Dyhre Tråserud NOR 100 0.70 6.80 15.90 39.40 88.80
Sara Takanashi JPN 100 0.60 6.10 14.70 36.60 87.10
Silje Opseth NOR 100 0.40 3.60 9.60 27.10 80.80
Nika Vodan SLO 100 0.30 3 8 24.60 79.70
Ema Klinec SLO 100 0.20 2.60 6.90 21.80 76.60
Yuka Seto JPN 100 0.20 2.50 7.40 22.40 76.60
Ringo Miyajima JPN 100 0.20 2.10 6.40 19.60 73.90
Yuki Ito JPN 100 0.10 1.90 5.70 18.80 73
Frida Westman SWE 100 0.10 1.50 4.50 15.90 69.30
Julia Mühlbacher AUT 100 0.10 1 3.30 13.80 64.80
Katharina Schmid GER 100 0.10 1.60 4.40 16.20 68.20
Gyda Westvold Hansen NOR 100 0.10 1.40 4.60 15 67.10
Juliane Seyfarth GER 100 0.10 0.80 2.90 11.30 61.20
Jenny Rautionaho FIN 100 0.10 1.20 3.50 12.60 62.60
Annika Sieff ITA 100 0 1 3 10.80 60.50
HOLLANDT Anna GER 100 0 1 3.20 12.20 62.80
Heta Hirvonen FIN 100 0 0.50 1.80 8.40 54.40
Anna Twardosz POL 100 0 0.60 1.60 7 49.70
Hannah Wiegele AUT 100 0 0.20 0.80 3.90 38.80
Annika Belshaw USA 100 0 0.40 1.60 6.90 49.90
Katra Komar SLO 100 0 0.40 1.20 5.80 45.70
Ingvild Synnøve Midtskogen NOR 100 0 0.70 2.30 9.40 57.40
Maja Kovacic SLO 100 0 0.50 1.60 6.80 48.60
Taja Bodlaj SLO 100 0 0.40 1 5 42.60
Sina Arnet SUI 100 0 0.20 1 5 41.90
Kira Maria Kapustikova SVK 100 0 0.20 0.90 4.50 41.40
Josephine Pagnier FRA 100 0 0.60 2.10 9.40 56.20
Nicole Maurer CAN 100 0 0.40 1.50 6.20 47.10
Julia Kykkänen FIN 100 0 0.20 0.80 4.70 44.40
Tamara Mesikova SVK 100 0 0.20 0.80 4.30 38.80
Pola Beltowska POL 100 0 0.20 0.80 3.90 39
Simone Buff SUI 100 0 0.40 1.50 6.10 46.40
Martina Zanitzer ITA 100 0 0.30 1.10 5.50 45.40
Julina Kreibich GER 100 0 0.20 1.20 5.70 45.70
Klara Ulrichova CZE 100 0 0.40 1.10 5.30 44.40
Sofia Mattila FIN 100 0 0.40 1.10 5.10 42.90
Julia Aikia FIN 100 0 0.20 0.80 5 42.40
Sandra Sproch USA 100 0 0.20 0.70 4 39.20
Alyona Sviridenko KAZ 100 0 0.30 0.70 3.80 38.90
Emma Chervet FRA 100 0 0.20 0.90 4.10 38.80