Race Picks for 11/26/2025
Skijump
Men
Points
| Skier | Nation | Sex | Race1 Points | Race1 Probability | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | M | 79.668615021797 | 1 | 79.668615021797 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | M | 79.6530027996748 | 1 | 79.6530027996748 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | M | 77.0527992281997 | 1 | 77.0527992281997 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | M | 73.1601265566039 | 1 | 73.1601265566039 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | M | 69.3917315287219 | 1 | 69.3917315287219 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | M | 65.3836957748028 | 1 | 65.3836957748028 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | M | 61.8964720866626 | 1 | 61.8964720866626 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | M | 58.3266285232412 | 1 | 58.3266285232412 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | M | 56.8972610453284 | 1 | 56.8972610453284 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | M | 55.3093234639136 | 1 | 55.3093234639136 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | M | 55.2949651184848 | 1 | 55.2949651184848 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | M | 53.8599714870658 | 1 | 53.8599714870658 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | M | 53.8097847836816 | 1 | 53.8097847836816 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | M | 52.6374338261829 | 1 | 52.6374338261829 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | M | 51.2939862044585 | 1 | 51.2939862044585 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | M | 50.5025845738014 | 1 | 50.5025845738014 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | M | 50.4207445674264 | 1 | 50.4207445674264 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | M | 46.8969942419914 | 1 | 46.8969942419914 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | M | 45.8318607103589 | 1 | 45.8318607103589 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | M | 45.8318607103589 | 1 | 45.8318607103589 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | M | 45.1054039352942 | 1 | 45.1054039352942 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | M | 44.7298094963396 | 1 | 44.7298094963396 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | M | 44.6517879208197 | 1 | 44.6517879208197 |
| Jan Hörl | AUT | M | 44.579288582871 | 1 | 44.579288582871 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | M | 44.1807660092605 | 1 | 44.1807660092605 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | M | 43.1766582398701 | 1 | 43.1766582398701 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | M | 42.0174218532554 | 1 | 42.0174218532554 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | M | 40.373387192462 | 1 | 40.373387192462 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | M | 37.5369929126916 | 1 | 37.5369929126916 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | M | 36.9827709859638 | 1 | 36.9827709859638 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | M | 36.8933309207154 | 1 | 36.8933309207154 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | M | 36.8118550644301 | 1 | 36.8118550644301 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | M | 35.7523641650137 | 1 | 35.7523641650137 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | M | 35.0173114772617 | 1 | 35.0173114772617 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | M | 34.425877224129 | 1 | 34.425877224129 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | M | 33.5760689156939 | 1 | 33.5760689156939 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | M | 32.7283202711469 | 1 | 32.7283202711469 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | M | 31.6527046103454 | 1 | 31.6527046103454 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | M | 30.4072807447656 | 1 | 30.4072807447656 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | M | 28.0853768619089 | 1 | 28.0853768619089 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | M | 26.2605762255539 | 1 | 26.2605762255539 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | M | 25.7312389782291 | 1 | 25.7312389782291 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | M | 22.3557965645329 | 1 | 22.3557965645329 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | M | 20.1795016169897 | 1 | 20.1795016169897 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | M | 19.6451862594472 | 1 | 19.6451862594472 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | M | 19.6091648864034 | 1 | 19.6091648864034 |
| Jason Colby | USA | M | 18.7050472724256 | 1 | 18.7050472724256 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | M | 18.4862775224073 | 1 | 18.4862775224073 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | M | 17.8921095237807 | 1 | 17.8921095237807 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | M | 17.3463749177952 | 1 | 17.3463749177952 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | M | 16.6125508671415 | 1 | 16.6125508671415 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | M | 16.3254906880841 | 1 | 16.3254906880841 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | M | 16.1087017680285 | 1 | 16.1087017680285 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | M | 16.0027209101118 | 1 | 16.0027209101118 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | M | 14.2981856850933 | 1 | 14.2981856850933 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | M | 14.2742034907203 | 1 | 14.2742034907203 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | M | 14.2725009107023 | 1 | 14.2725009107023 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | M | 13.9601413513133 | 1 | 13.9601413513133 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | M | 13.3348411729102 | 1 | 13.3348411729102 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | M | 12.245653285493 | 1 | 12.245653285493 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | M | 11.6518113805879 | 1 | 11.6518113805879 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | M | 11.6022364722364 | 1 | 11.6022364722364 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | M | 11.2243508826525 | 1 | 11.2243508826525 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | M | 10.7846753365331 | 1 | 10.7846753365331 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | M | 10.325001458085 | 1 | 10.325001458085 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | M | 10.1510312452489 | 1 | 10.1510312452489 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | M | 8.45900669667683 | 1 | 8.45900669667683 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | M | 8.39960250935222 | 1 | 8.39960250935222 |
Position Probabilities
Race 1
| Skier | Nation | Sex | Participation | Win | Podium | Top5 | Top10 | Top30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | M | 1 | 22.4264705882353 | 50.4683840749415 | 57.8526754690757 | 88.1246641590543 | 94.5663699752579 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | M | 1 | 12.0098039215686 | 35.8313817330211 | 43.4329395413482 | 78.7748522299839 | 93.5059927380226 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | M | 1 | 11.3970588235294 | 38.5245901639344 | 43.1723419041001 | 78.3449758194519 | 93.6023906686803 |
| Jan Hörl | AUT | M | 1 | 11.1519607843137 | 39.1100702576112 | 42.6511466296039 | 78.1300376141859 | 93.6987885993381 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | M | 1 | 11.0294117647059 | 35.480093676815 | 44.4753300903405 | 78.0225685115529 | 93.6023906686803 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | M | 1 | 10.4166666666667 | 30.7962529274005 | 44.8227936066713 | 77.162815690489 | 93.313196876707 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | M | 1 | 5.14705882352941 | 16.0421545667447 | 35.9624739402363 | 65.3412144008597 | 92.4456155007873 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | M | 1 | 1.96078431372549 | 8.66510538641686 | 18.0681028492008 | 44.7071466953251 | 88.3005044825038 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | M | 1 | 1.22549019607843 | 2.81030444964871 | 16.9388464211258 | 35.5722729715207 | 87.3365251759262 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | M | 1 | 1.10294117647059 | 4.91803278688525 | 11.4662960389159 | 31.8108543793659 | 83.2878120883005 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | M | 1 | 1.10294117647059 | 3.86416861826698 | 8.07852675469076 | 28.8017195056421 | 80.2030783072523 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | M | 1 | 0.980392156862745 | 3.86416861826698 | 12.7692842251564 | 29.4465341214401 | 82.6130265736962 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | M | 1 | 0.857843137254902 | 2.2248243559719 | 10.1633078526755 | 26.3299301450833 | 82.5166286430385 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | M | 1 | 0.857843137254902 | 3.27868852459016 | 7.55733148019458 | 25.2552391187534 | 79.0463031393593 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | M | 1 | 0.735294117647059 | 2.69320843091335 | 7.1230020847811 | 24.7178936055884 | 80.4922720992256 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | M | 1 | 0.735294117647059 | 2.45901639344262 | 9.4683808200139 | 25.1477700161204 | 81.5526493364609 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | M | 1 | 0.612745098039216 | 2.57611241217799 | 5.29881862404448 | 19.9892530897367 | 77.1183445262042 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | M | 1 | 0.612745098039216 | 2.57611241217799 | 4.95135510771369 | 20.2041912950027 | 77.3111403875197 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | M | 1 | 0.612745098039216 | 1.52224824355972 | 5.82001389854065 | 18.6996238581408 | 77.7931300408085 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | M | 1 | 0.490196078431373 | 1.40515222482436 | 5.82001389854065 | 16.120365394949 | 76.1543652196266 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | M | 1 | 0.367647058823529 | 0.702576112412178 | 6.08061153578874 | 13.8635142396561 | 75.9615693583111 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | M | 1 | 0.367647058823529 | 1.05386416861827 | 3.38776928422516 | 11.0693175711983 | 70.3704893801613 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | M | 1 | 0.367647058823529 | 0.936768149882904 | 6.08061153578874 | 8.91993551853842 | 70.081295588188 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | M | 1 | 0.367647058823529 | 1.40515222482436 | 5.47255038220987 | 11.3917248790973 | 70.8524790334501 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 1.05386416861827 | 1.82418346073662 | 8.49005910800645 | 62.6586549275409 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 0.468384074941452 | 2.77970813064628 | 6.44814615797958 | 64.2974197487227 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 0.585480093676815 | 3.21403752605976 | 6.77055346587856 | 65.8397866392468 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 0.234192037470726 | 2.08478109798471 | 5.15851692638366 | 61.019890106359 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 0.585480093676815 | 2.69284225156359 | 7.7377753895755 | 66.0325825005623 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | M | 1 | 0.245098039215686 | 0.702576112412178 | 2.95343988881167 | 5.48092423428264 | 60.8270942450435 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 0.95552466990966 | 2.79419666845782 | 43.7646605186209 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 1.12925642807505 | 1.39709833422891 | 36.0528260660004 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 1.73731758165393 | 1.71950564212789 | 42.8006812120433 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.351288056206089 | 1.38985406532314 | 2.25685115529285 | 43.1862729346743 |
| Jason Colby | USA | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 1.38985406532314 | 2.47178936055884 | 46.5602005076958 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 1.47671994440584 | 1.39709833422891 | 38.3663764017866 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.234192037470726 | 1.12925642807505 | 0.967221923696937 | 29.4977667812731 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.537345513164965 | 17.3516275183959 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.537345513164965 | 18.508402686289 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.351288056206089 | 1.99791521890202 | 3.76141859215476 | 55.3324121975515 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.781792911744267 | 0.429876410531972 | 16.9660357957649 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.537345513164965 | 17.0624337264227 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | M | 1 | 0.122549019607843 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.608061153578874 | 0.537345513164965 | 17.8336171716847 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.429876410531972 | 16.0984544198451 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 6.26586549275409 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | M | 1 | 0 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.322407307898979 | 11.7605475402461 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.429876410531972 | 15.3272709745831 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.214938205265986 | 7.90463031393593 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.429876410531972 | 15.4236689052408 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.117096018735363 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.429876410531972 | 14.6524854599788 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.608061153578874 | 0.214938205265986 | 8.77221168985572 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 5.78387583946531 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.214938205265986 | 8.09742617525144 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 6.84425307670062 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.694927032661571 | 0.107469102632993 | 6.4586613540696 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 6.74785514604287 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 5.39828411683429 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 3.85591722631021 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0 | 1.83156068249735 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.214938205265986 | 9.2542013431445 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.608061153578874 | 0.322407307898979 | 13.2065165001125 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 7.13344686867389 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.107469102632993 | 3.18113171170592 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0 | 2.50634619710164 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0 | 1.83156068249735 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0 | 2.12075447447062 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.214938205265986 | 9.92898685774879 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.521195274496178 | 0.214938205265986 | 9.92898685774879 |