Race Picks for 11/26/2025
Skijump
Men
Points
| Skier | Nation | Race1 Points | Race1 Probability | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | 79.67 | 1 | 79.67 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | 79.65 | 1 | 79.65 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | 77.05 | 1 | 77.05 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | 73.16 | 1 | 73.16 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | 69.39 | 1 | 69.39 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | 65.38 | 1 | 65.38 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | 61.90 | 1 | 61.90 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | 58.33 | 1 | 58.33 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | 56.90 | 1 | 56.90 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | 55.31 | 1 | 55.31 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | 55.29 | 1 | 55.29 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | 53.86 | 1 | 53.86 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | 53.81 | 1 | 53.81 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | 52.64 | 1 | 52.64 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | 51.29 | 1 | 51.29 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | 50.50 | 1 | 50.50 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | 50.42 | 1 | 50.42 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | 46.90 | 1 | 46.90 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | 45.83 | 1 | 45.83 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | 45.83 | 1 | 45.83 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | 45.11 | 1 | 45.11 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | 44.73 | 1 | 44.73 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | 44.65 | 1 | 44.65 |
| Jan Hörl | AUT | 44.58 | 1 | 44.58 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | 44.18 | 1 | 44.18 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | 43.18 | 1 | 43.18 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | 42.02 | 1 | 42.02 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | 40.37 | 1 | 40.37 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | 37.54 | 1 | 37.54 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | 36.98 | 1 | 36.98 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | 36.89 | 1 | 36.89 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | 36.81 | 1 | 36.81 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | 35.75 | 1 | 35.75 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | 35.02 | 1 | 35.02 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | 34.43 | 1 | 34.43 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | 33.58 | 1 | 33.58 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | 32.73 | 1 | 32.73 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | 31.65 | 1 | 31.65 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | 30.41 | 1 | 30.41 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | 28.09 | 1 | 28.09 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | 26.26 | 1 | 26.26 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | 25.73 | 1 | 25.73 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | 22.36 | 1 | 22.36 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | 20.18 | 1 | 20.18 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | 19.65 | 1 | 19.65 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | 19.61 | 1 | 19.61 |
| Jason Colby | USA | 18.71 | 1 | 18.71 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | 18.49 | 1 | 18.49 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | 17.89 | 1 | 17.89 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | 17.35 | 1 | 17.35 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | 16.61 | 1 | 16.61 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | 16.33 | 1 | 16.33 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | 16.11 | 1 | 16.11 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | 16.00 | 1 | 16.00 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | 14.30 | 1 | 14.30 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | 14.27 | 1 | 14.27 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | 14.27 | 1 | 14.27 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | 13.96 | 1 | 13.96 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | 13.33 | 1 | 13.33 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | 12.25 | 1 | 12.25 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | 11.65 | 1 | 11.65 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | 11.60 | 1 | 11.60 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | 11.22 | 1 | 11.22 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | 10.78 | 1 | 10.78 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | 10.33 | 1 | 10.33 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | 10.15 | 1 | 10.15 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | 8.46 | 1 | 8.46 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | 8.40 | 1 | 8.40 |
Position Probabilities
Race 1
| Skier | Nation | Participation | Win | Podium | Top5 | Top10 | Top30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | 1 | 22.43 | 50.47 | 57.85 | 88.12 | 94.57 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | 1 | 12.01 | 35.83 | 43.43 | 78.77 | 93.51 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | 1 | 11.40 | 38.52 | 43.17 | 78.34 | 93.60 |
| Jan Hörl | AUT | 1 | 11.15 | 39.11 | 42.65 | 78.13 | 93.70 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | 1 | 11.03 | 35.48 | 44.48 | 78.02 | 93.60 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | 1 | 10.42 | 30.80 | 44.82 | 77.16 | 93.31 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | 1 | 5.15 | 16.04 | 35.96 | 65.34 | 92.45 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | 1 | 1.96 | 8.67 | 18.07 | 44.71 | 88.30 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | 1 | 1.23 | 2.81 | 16.94 | 35.57 | 87.34 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | 1 | 1.10 | 4.92 | 11.47 | 31.81 | 83.29 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | 1 | 1.10 | 3.86 | 8.08 | 28.80 | 80.20 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | 1 | 0.98 | 3.86 | 12.77 | 29.45 | 82.61 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | 1 | 0.86 | 2.22 | 10.16 | 26.33 | 82.52 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | 1 | 0.86 | 3.28 | 7.56 | 25.26 | 79.05 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | 1 | 0.74 | 2.69 | 7.12 | 24.72 | 80.49 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | 1 | 0.74 | 2.46 | 9.47 | 25.15 | 81.55 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | 1 | 0.61 | 2.58 | 5.30 | 19.99 | 77.12 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | 1 | 0.61 | 2.58 | 4.95 | 20.20 | 77.31 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | 1 | 0.61 | 1.52 | 5.82 | 18.70 | 77.79 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | 1 | 0.49 | 1.41 | 5.82 | 16.12 | 76.15 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | 1 | 0.37 | 0.70 | 6.08 | 13.86 | 75.96 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | 1 | 0.37 | 1.05 | 3.39 | 11.07 | 70.37 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | 1 | 0.37 | 0.94 | 6.08 | 8.92 | 70.08 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | 1 | 0.37 | 1.41 | 5.47 | 11.39 | 70.85 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | 1 | 0.25 | 1.05 | 1.82 | 8.49 | 62.66 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | 1 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 2.78 | 6.45 | 64.30 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | 1 | 0.25 | 0.59 | 3.21 | 6.77 | 65.84 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | 1 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 2.08 | 5.16 | 61.02 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | 1 | 0.25 | 0.59 | 2.69 | 7.74 | 66.03 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | 1 | 0.25 | 0.70 | 2.95 | 5.48 | 60.83 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.96 | 2.79 | 43.76 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1.13 | 1.40 | 36.05 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1.74 | 1.72 | 42.80 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | 1 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 1.39 | 2.26 | 43.19 |
| Jason Colby | USA | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1.39 | 2.47 | 46.56 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1.48 | 1.40 | 38.37 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | 1 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 1.13 | 0.97 | 29.50 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 17.35 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 18.51 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | 1 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 2.00 | 3.76 | 55.33 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.78 | 0.43 | 16.97 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 17.06 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | 1 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 17.83 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 16.10 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 6.27 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.32 | 11.76 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 15.33 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 7.90 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 15.42 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 14.65 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.21 | 8.77 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 5.78 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 8.10 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 6.84 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 6.46 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 6.75 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 5.40 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 3.86 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 1.83 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 9.25 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.32 | 13.21 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 7.13 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 3.18 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 2.51 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 1.83 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 2.12 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 9.93 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 9.93 |