Race Picks for 11/25/2025
Skijump
Men
Points
| Skier | Nation | Race1 Points | Race1 Probability | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Hörl | AUT | 45.79 | 1 | 45.79 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | 44.38 | 1 | 44.38 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | 38.85 | 1 | 38.85 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | 37.19 | 1 | 37.19 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | 33.34 | 1 | 33.34 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | 31.62 | 1 | 31.62 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | 27.43 | 1 | 27.43 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | 26.85 | 1 | 26.85 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | 23.22 | 1 | 23.22 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | 22.07 | 1 | 22.07 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | 21.01 | 1 | 21.01 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | 19.60 | 1 | 19.60 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | 16.48 | 1 | 16.48 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | 16.32 | 1 | 16.32 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | 15.01 | 1 | 15.01 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | 14.96 | 1 | 14.96 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | 14.92 | 1 | 14.92 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | 14.91 | 1 | 14.91 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | 14.29 | 1 | 14.29 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | 13.29 | 1 | 13.29 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | 13.04 | 1 | 13.04 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | 12.47 | 1 | 12.47 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | 11.86 | 1 | 11.86 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | 11.69 | 1 | 11.69 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | 11.63 | 1 | 11.63 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | 10.59 | 1 | 10.59 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | 10.47 | 1 | 10.47 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | 9.90 | 1 | 9.90 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | 9.52 | 1 | 9.52 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | 7.81 | 1 | 7.81 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | 7.68 | 1 | 7.68 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | 7.63 | 1 | 7.63 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | 7.14 | 1 | 7.14 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | 7.11 | 1 | 7.11 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | 6.68 | 1 | 6.68 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | 6.58 | 1 | 6.58 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | 6.54 | 1 | 6.54 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | 6.43 | 1 | 6.43 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | 5.92 | 1 | 5.92 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | 5.90 | 1 | 5.90 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | 5.29 | 1 | 5.29 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | 5.19 | 1 | 5.19 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Jason Colby | USA | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | 4.82 | 1 | 4.82 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | 4.69 | 1 | 4.69 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | 4.16 | 1 | 4.16 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | 4.15 | 1 | 4.15 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | 4.02 | 1 | 4.02 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | 3.67 | 1 | 3.67 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | 3.25 | 1 | 3.25 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | 3.21 | 1 | 3.21 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | 2.94 | 1 | 2.94 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | 2.76 | 1 | 2.76 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | 1.89 | 1 | 1.89 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | 1.77 | 1 | 1.77 |
Position Probabilities
Race 1
| Skier | Nation | Participation | Win | Podium | Top5 | Top10 | Top30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Hörl | AUT | 1 | 23.41 | 45.44 | 69.27 | 81.10 | 93.80 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | 1 | 18.82 | 23.19 | 41.35 | 66.64 | 93.32 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | 1 | 17.29 | 45.98 | 69.27 | 80.18 | 93.12 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | 1 | 8.53 | 19.15 | 34.51 | 58.16 | 90.99 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | 1 | 5.69 | 14.02 | 25.98 | 50.24 | 89.43 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | 1 | 5.03 | 23.46 | 39.93 | 62.06 | 88.85 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | 1 | 4.38 | 39.37 | 59.71 | 72.72 | 88.17 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | 1 | 2.84 | 7.69 | 14.47 | 37.97 | 85.55 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | 1 | 1.97 | 3.91 | 7.50 | 29.71 | 83.02 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | 1 | 1.53 | 13.08 | 23.13 | 47.95 | 81.86 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | 1 | 1.31 | 9.03 | 16.28 | 40.72 | 80.79 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | 1 | 1.31 | 3.24 | 6.07 | 26.96 | 80.21 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | 1 | 1.31 | 6.34 | 11.89 | 34.18 | 80.40 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | 1 | 1.09 | 3.10 | 5.82 | 26.38 | 79.14 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | 1 | 0.88 | 2.83 | 5.17 | 24.09 | 75.64 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | 1 | 0.88 | 3.78 | 6.98 | 27.53 | 76.61 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | 1 | 0.88 | 7.01 | 12.66 | 36.13 | 75.84 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | 1 | 0.66 | 2.16 | 4.14 | 21.34 | 73.31 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | 1 | 0.66 | 3.10 | 5.82 | 24.43 | 74.67 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | 1 | 0.44 | 2.16 | 3.88 | 20.65 | 71.18 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | 1 | 0.22 | 2.16 | 3.75 | 13.88 | 55.83 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | 1 | 0.22 | 1.62 | 2.84 | 13.42 | 58.94 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | 1 | 0.22 | 1.21 | 2.20 | 8.95 | 50.20 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | 1 | 0.22 | 1.48 | 2.58 | 14.45 | 62.44 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | 1 | 0.22 | 0.94 | 1.81 | 9.86 | 55.74 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 1.03 | 5.74 | 46.71 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | 1 | 0 | 0.94 | 1.55 | 6.19 | 45.74 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | 1 | 0 | 0.94 | 1.55 | 5.28 | 41.75 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 1.26 | 24.08 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 2.75 | 35.35 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | 1 | 0 | 0.54 | 0.90 | 3.67 | 40.10 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Jason Colby | USA | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | 1 | 0 | 0.94 | 1.55 | 4.70 | 38.74 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | 1 | 0 | 0.94 | 1.68 | 6.54 | 45.83 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 1.49 | 27.48 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | 1 | 0 | 0.54 | 0.90 | 4.59 | 43.31 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 1.38 | 27.09 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 17.09 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 1.03 | 22.92 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 1.95 | 29.42 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 16.90 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 1.61 | 28.45 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 3.33 | 38.55 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 12.33 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1.15 | 23.01 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 8.55 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 12.91 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 21.85 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 7.09 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 9.71 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 14.86 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 6.70 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.57 | 18.16 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 11.07 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | 1 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 23.01 |