Race Picks for 11/25/2025
Skijump
Men
Points
| Skier | Nation | Sex | Race1 Points | Race1 Probability | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Hörl | AUT | M | 45.7905682131556 | 1 | 45.7905682131556 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | M | 44.3755573658326 | 1 | 44.3755573658326 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | M | 38.8455054421502 | 1 | 38.8455054421502 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | M | 37.187351966504 | 1 | 37.187351966504 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | M | 33.3361867093216 | 1 | 33.3361867093216 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | M | 31.6217427609794 | 1 | 31.6217427609794 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | M | 27.4269191267469 | 1 | 27.4269191267469 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | M | 26.8461781523055 | 1 | 26.8461781523055 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | M | 23.219737365968 | 1 | 23.219737365968 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | M | 22.0651196886549 | 1 | 22.0651196886549 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | M | 21.0084548026861 | 1 | 21.0084548026861 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | M | 19.603482202375 | 1 | 19.603482202375 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | M | 16.4846028450966 | 1 | 16.4846028450966 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | M | 16.324459594686 | 1 | 16.324459594686 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | M | 15.007600574431 | 1 | 15.007600574431 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | M | 14.9631729613225 | 1 | 14.9631729613225 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | M | 14.9230888292979 | 1 | 14.9230888292979 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | M | 14.9062607100861 | 1 | 14.9062607100861 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | M | 14.2921746872218 | 1 | 14.2921746872218 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | M | 13.2945157478894 | 1 | 13.2945157478894 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | M | 13.0357917305993 | 1 | 13.0357917305993 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | M | 12.4745014732619 | 1 | 12.4745014732619 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | M | 11.8565681056343 | 1 | 11.8565681056343 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | M | 11.6893992911463 | 1 | 11.6893992911463 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | M | 11.6336940639624 | 1 | 11.6336940639624 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | M | 10.5913815614258 | 1 | 10.5913815614258 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | M | 10.4719570030905 | 1 | 10.4719570030905 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | M | 9.90188490536553 | 1 | 9.90188490536553 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | M | 9.51961878826145 | 1 | 9.51961878826145 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | M | 7.81289341287754 | 1 | 7.81289341287754 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | M | 7.68436236949972 | 1 | 7.68436236949972 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | M | 7.63195751388191 | 1 | 7.63195751388191 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | M | 7.13804119241036 | 1 | 7.13804119241036 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | M | 7.10725077268084 | 1 | 7.10725077268084 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | M | 6.67612490055513 | 1 | 6.67612490055513 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | M | 6.5755525083125 | 1 | 6.5755525083125 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | M | 6.53600718814834 | 1 | 6.53600718814834 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | M | 6.43403410186536 | 1 | 6.43403410186536 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | M | 5.91737460681259 | 1 | 5.91737460681259 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | M | 5.90305955888927 | 1 | 5.90305955888927 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | M | 5.29449316179934 | 1 | 5.29449316179934 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | M | 5.19169660512169 | 1 | 5.19169660512169 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Jason Colby | USA | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | M | 4.82433862633547 | 1 | 4.82433862633547 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | M | 4.82223349372133 | 1 | 4.82223349372133 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | M | 4.68573714598492 | 1 | 4.68573714598492 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | M | 4.16230848540978 | 1 | 4.16230848540978 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | M | 4.15276787542581 | 1 | 4.15276787542581 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | M | 4.02277021269841 | 1 | 4.02277021269841 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | M | 3.67054385071863 | 1 | 3.67054385071863 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | M | 3.24571238485958 | 1 | 3.24571238485958 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | M | 3.20754638694882 | 1 | 3.20754638694882 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | M | 2.93984585495213 | 1 | 2.93984585495213 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | M | 2.75758002462019 | 1 | 2.75758002462019 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | M | 1.8940797873248 | 1 | 1.8940797873248 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | M | 1.77465546722596 | 1 | 1.77465546722596 |
Position Probabilities
Race 1
| Skier | Nation | Sex | Participation | Win | Podium | Top5 | Top10 | Top30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Hörl | AUT | M | 1 | 23.4135667396061 | 45.438202247191 | 69.2685448436289 | 81.096581784813 | 93.8015860171549 |
| Daniel Tschofenig | AUT | M | 1 | 18.8183807439825 | 23.1910112359551 | 41.3543551305247 | 66.6437256251434 | 93.3160705615795 |
| Stefan Kraft | AUT | M | 1 | 17.2866520787746 | 45.9775280898876 | 69.2685448436289 | 80.1789401238816 | 93.1218643793494 |
| Johann Forfang | NOR | M | 1 | 8.53391684901532 | 19.1460674157303 | 34.5050400620315 | 58.1555402615279 | 90.9855963748179 |
| Anze Lanisek | SLO | M | 1 | 5.68927789934355 | 14.0224719101124 | 25.9757043163608 | 50.2408809359945 | 89.4319469169769 |
| Ryoyu Kobayashi | JPN | M | 1 | 5.0328227571116 | 23.4606741573034 | 39.9327991729129 | 62.0555173204864 | 88.8493283702865 |
| Andreas Wellinger | GER | M | 1 | 4.37636761487965 | 39.3707865168539 | 59.705350219695 | 72.723101628814 | 88.169606732481 |
| Gregor Deschwanden | SUI | M | 1 | 2.84463894967177 | 7.68539325842697 | 14.4740242956836 | 37.9674237210369 | 85.5478232723742 |
| Kristoffer Eriksen Sundal | NOR | M | 1 | 1.96936542669584 | 3.91011235955056 | 7.4954768674076 | 29.7086487726543 | 83.0231429033824 |
| Marius Lindvik | NOR | M | 1 | 1.53172866520788 | 13.0786516853933 | 23.1325924011372 | 47.946776783666 | 81.8579058100016 |
| Manuel Fettner | AUT | M | 1 | 1.3129102844639 | 9.03370786516854 | 16.2832773326441 | 40.7203487038312 | 80.7897718077359 |
| Maximilian Ortner | AUT | M | 1 | 1.3129102844639 | 3.23595505617978 | 6.07392090979581 | 26.9557237898601 | 80.2071532610455 |
| Halvor Egner Granerud | NOR | M | 1 | 1.3129102844639 | 6.33707865168539 | 11.8893771000258 | 34.1821518696949 | 80.4013594432756 |
| Yukiya Sato | JPN | M | 1 | 1.09409190371991 | 3.10112359550562 | 5.81545619023003 | 26.3821977517779 | 79.1390192587797 |
| Domen Prevc | SLO | M | 1 | 0.87527352297593 | 2.8314606741573 | 5.16929439131559 | 24.0880935994494 | 75.6433079786373 |
| Pius Paschke | GER | M | 1 | 0.87527352297593 | 3.7752808988764 | 6.97854742827604 | 27.5292498279422 | 76.614338889788 |
| Karl Geiger | GER | M | 1 | 0.87527352297593 | 7.01123595505618 | 12.6647712587232 | 36.1321403991741 | 75.8375141608674 |
| Ren Nikaido | JPN | M | 1 | 0.656455142231948 | 2.15730337078652 | 4.13543551305247 | 21.3351686166552 | 73.3128337918757 |
| Pawel Wasek | POL | M | 1 | 0.656455142231948 | 3.10112359550562 | 5.81545619023003 | 24.4322092222987 | 74.6722770674867 |
| Timi Zajc | SLO | M | 1 | 0.437636761487965 | 2.15730337078652 | 3.87697079348669 | 20.6469373709566 | 71.1765657873442 |
| Philipp Raimund | GER | M | 1 | 0.218818380743983 | 2.15730337078652 | 3.7477384337038 | 13.8793301215875 | 55.8342773911636 |
| Kamil Stoch | POL | M | 1 | 0.218818380743983 | 1.61797752808989 | 2.84311191522357 | 13.4205092911218 | 58.9415763068458 |
| Dawid Kubacki | POL | M | 1 | 0.218818380743983 | 1.21348314606742 | 2.19695011630912 | 8.94700619408121 | 50.2022981064897 |
| Tate Frantz | USA | M | 1 | 0.218818380743983 | 1.48314606741573 | 2.58464719565779 | 14.4528561596697 | 62.4372875869882 |
| Aleksander Zniszczol | POL | M | 1 | 0.218818380743983 | 0.943820224719101 | 1.80925303696045 | 9.86464785501262 | 55.7371743000486 |
| Felix Hoffmann | GER | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Stephan Embacher | AUT | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Artti Aigro | EST | M | 1 | 0 | 0.674157303370786 | 1.03385887826312 | 5.73526038082129 | 46.7065868263473 |
| Naoki Nakamura | JPN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.943820224719101 | 1.55078831739468 | 6.19408121128699 | 45.7355559151966 |
| Vladimir Zografski | BUL | M | 1 | 0 | 0.943820224719101 | 1.55078831739468 | 5.27643955035559 | 41.7543291794789 |
| Kacper Tomasiak | POL | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Antti Aalto | FIN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.646161798914448 | 1.26175728378068 | 24.0815665965367 |
| Valentin Foubert | FRA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.646161798914448 | 2.75292498279422 | 35.3455251658844 |
| Benjamin Østvold | NOR | M | 1 | 0 | 0.539325842696629 | 0.904626518480227 | 3.67056664372563 | 40.1035766305227 |
| Sakutaro Kobayashi | JPN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Jason Colby | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Piotr Zyla | POL | M | 1 | 0 | 0.943820224719101 | 1.55078831739468 | 4.70291351227346 | 38.7441333549118 |
| Lovro Kos | SLO | M | 1 | 0 | 0.943820224719101 | 1.68002067717757 | 6.53819683413627 | 45.8326590063117 |
| Yevhen Marusiak | UKR | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.516929439131559 | 1.49116769901354 | 27.480174785564 |
| Svyatoslav Nazarenko | KAZ | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Kevin Bickner | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.539325842696629 | 0.904626518480227 | 4.58820830465703 | 43.30797863732 |
| Weijie Zhen | CHN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.516929439131559 | 1.37646249139711 | 27.0917624211037 |
| Tomofumi Naito | JPN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.258464719565779 | 0.458820830465703 | 17.0901440362518 |
| Sandro Hauswirth | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Juri Kesseli | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Jules Chervet | FRA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes | CAN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.516929439131559 | 1.03234686854783 | 22.9163295031559 |
| Mihnea Alexandru Spulber | ROU | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Alex Insam | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.646161798914448 | 1.94998852947924 | 29.4222366078654 |
| Daniel Andrei Cacina | ROU | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.258464719565779 | 0.458820830465703 | 16.8959378540217 |
| Erik Belshaw | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.646161798914448 | 1.60587290662996 | 28.4512056967147 |
| Felix Trunz | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Giovanni Bresadola | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.646161798914448 | 3.32645102087635 | 38.5499271726817 |
| Hektor Kapustik | SVK | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Muhammed Ali Bedir | TUR | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.258464719565779 | 0.229410415232852 | 12.3320925716135 |
| Roman Koudelka | CZE | M | 1 | 0 | 0.404494382022472 | 0.516929439131559 | 1.14705207616426 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Rok Oblak | SLO | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| Kasperi Valto | FIN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.12923235978289 | 0.114705207616426 | 8.54507201812591 |
| Simon Ammann | SUI | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.258464719565779 | 0.344115622849277 | 12.9147111183039 |
| Vilho Palosaari | FIN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.802936453314981 | 21.8481955008901 |
| Francesco Cecon | ITA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.12923235978289 | 0.114705207616426 | 7.0885256513999 |
| Fatih Arda Ipcioglu | TUR | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.12923235978289 | 0.114705207616426 | 9.71030911150672 |
| Ilya Mizernykh | KAZ | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.258464719565779 | 0.344115622849277 | 14.8567729406053 |
| Vitaliy Kalinichenko | UKR | M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.12923235978289 | 0.114705207616426 | 6.70011328693963 |
| Andrew Urlaub | USA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.573526038082129 | 18.1582780385176 |
| Danil Vassilyev | KAZ | M | 1 | 0 | 0.134831460674157 | 0.12923235978289 | 0.229410415232852 | 11.0697523871177 |
| LYU Yixin | CHN | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |
| OBERSTEINER Louis | FRA | M | 1 | 0 | 0.269662921348315 | 0.387697079348669 | 0.917641660931406 | 23.0134325942709 |