Davos 2025 Recap

Introduction

Merry Christmas everyone! The winners from this weekend were largely Norwegian for men and German for ladies. Tough go of it for French men (minus Chanavat), and Rosie Brennan for women. Klæbo is still likely to win the overall (although getting less everyday), and Diggins takes over Sundling as the favorite for women.

Race 1 (Sprint Freestyle)

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo	Norway	1781.84	1834.35	52.51	92.86	100
Lucas Chanavat	France	1731.20	1792.66	61.46	64.63	95
Erik Valnes	Norway	1679.68	1752.93	73.24	60.59	90
Harald Østberg Amundsen	Norway	1621.02	1711.67	90.64	50.83	85
Matz William Jenssen	Norway	1604.59	1697.13	92.54	44.34	80
Ben Ogden	USA	1591.82	1684.90	93.08	50.94	75
Edvin Anger	Sweden	1620.44	1696.32	75.88	59.51	72
Richard Jouve	France	1463.93	1610.38	146.45	19.74	69
Even Northug	Norway	1694.23	1732.46	38.23	73.72	66
Aleksander Holmboe	Norway	1547.90	1641.23	93.33	50.46	63

Showing 1 to 10 of 94 entries

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points
Jonna Sundling	Sweden	1675.73	1721.89	46.16	83.73	100
Mathilde Myhrvold	Norway	1585.19	1648.39	63.20	55.12	95
Julie Myhre	Norway	1531.79	1605.55	73.76	60.02	90
Lotta Udnes Weng	Norway	1460.04	1552.28	92.24	31.58	85
Jasmi Joensuu	Finland	1528.57	1593.33	64.75	50.48	80
Jessie Diggins	USA	1607.20	1644.52	37.33	58.47	75
Nicole Monsorno	Italy	1353.72	1469.21	115.49	20.26	72
Melissa Gal	France	1236.08	1388.77	152.69	0.00	69
Coletta Rydzek	Germany	1552.59	1590.08	37.48	58.65	66
Lena Quintin	France	1456.36	1519.87	63.51	31.38	63

Showing 1 to 10 of 58 entries

Race 2 (Distance Classic)

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points
Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget	Norway	1684.70	1750.76	66.06	72.71	100
Iivo Niskanen	Finland	1692.81	1751.52	58.71	81.62	95
Hugo Lapalus	France	1591.71	1679.19	87.48	47.23	90
Simen Hegstad Krüger	Norway	1591.54	1674.09	82.55	44.09	85
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo	Norway	1700.44	1741.98	41.55	64.35	80
Harald Østberg Amundsen	Norway	1663.55	1711.04	47.49	34.36	75
Emil Iversen	Norway	1440.93	1575.40	134.48	21.76	72
Thomas Hjalmar Westgård	Ireland	1540.37	1623.63	83.26		69
Ristomatti Hakola	Finland	1420.03	1555.00	134.96	19.33	66
Andreas Fjorden Ree	Norway	1482.66	1581.91	99.24	33.75	63

Showing 1 to 10 of 85 entries

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Points
Astrid Øyre Slind	Norway	1576.42	1630.58	54.15	62.35	100
Kerttu Niskanen	Finland	1613.84	1655.69	41.85	59.65	95
Therese Johaug	Norway	1717.69	1737.53	19.83	82.44	90
Krista Pärmäkoski	Finland	1595.71	1631.02	35.31	55.55	85
Victoria Carl	Germany	1564.49	1601.09	36.60	22.59	80
Teresa Stadlober	Austria	1611.94	1634.15	22.20		75
Jessie Diggins	USA	1597.52	1617.48	19.96	58.44	72
Rosie Brennan	USA	1601.96	1616.06	14.10	55.21	69
Katharina Hennig	Germany	1656.26	1655.57	-0.69	65.21	66
Silje Theodorsen	Norway	1385.32	1439.17	53.85	24.75	63

Showing 1 to 10 of 42 entries

Weekend Recap

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Total Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Total Points
Harald Østberg Amundsen	Norway	1774.50	1856.26	81.76	85.19	256
Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget	Norway	1786.44	1863.48	77.04	72.71	190
Simen Hegstad Krüger	Norway	1727.40	1818.89	91.49	44.09	180
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo	Norway	1880.80	1900.94	20.15	157.21	169
Andreas Fjorden Ree	Norway	1609.29	1732.01	122.72	33.75	152
Jan Thomas Jenssen	Norway	1669.55	1756.87	87.32		151
Andrew Musgrave	Great Britain	1468.29	1657.81	189.52	32.17	135
Gus Schumacher	USA	1653.47	1652.87	-0.60	63.05	132
Pål Golberg	Norway	1712.73	1752.37	39.64	63.92	126
Friedrich Moch	Germany	1647.04	1695.62	48.59	45.44	120

Showing 1 to 10 of 145 entries

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Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Total Points

Skier	Nation	Before Elo	After Elo	Elo Difference	Predicted Points	Total Points
Jessie Diggins	USA	1694.38	1775.45	81.07	116.90	239
Victoria Carl	Germany	1691.15	1757.92	66.77	80.20	223
Therese Johaug	Norway	1844.59	1897.40	52.80	82.44	200
Heidi Weng	Norway	1733.07	1809.26	76.19		190
Jonna Sundling	Sweden	1783.54	1825.83	42.29	83.73	175
Astrid Øyre Slind	Norway	1611.64	1716.05	104.41	62.35	170
Ebba Andersson	Sweden	1716.82	1769.47	52.65		157
Pia Fink	Germany	1541.40	1586.49	45.09	32.67	152
Katerina Janatova	Czechia	1470.25	1525.71	55.45	68.96	143
Kristin Austgulen Fosnæs	Norway	1523.82	1623.78	99.96	34.85	129

Showing 1 to 10 of 105 entries

Final Season Result Simulations

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Skier	Current Standings	Simulated Standings	Low Range	High Range	Win%	Top 3%	Top 5%	Top 10%

Skier	Current Standings	Simulated Standings	Low Range	High Range	Win%	Top 3%	Top 5%	Top 10%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo	592	2440.70	2221	2615	98.60	100.00	100.00	100.00
Harald Østberg Amundsen	688	2230.00	2007	2440	1.40	100.00	100.00	100.00
Martin Løwstrøm Nyenget	501	1879.80	1605	2129	0.00	81.00	99.40	100.00
Erik Valnes	382	1743.20	1510	1998	0.00	10.80	92.40	100.00
Simen Hegstad Krüger	436	1725.60	1459	1972	0.00	7.60	91.80	100.00
Pål Golberg	290	1578.50	1306	1835	0.00	0.20	15.40	100.00
Iivo Niskanen	381	1475.60	1225	1679	0.00	0.00	0.60	99.40
Andreas Fjorden Ree	374	1380.30	1270	1493	0.00	0.00	0.00	99.80
Federico Pellegrino	331	1339.00	991	1715	0.00	0.00	0.40	71.80
Jan Thomas Jenssen	256	1268.20	985	1529	0.00	0.00	0.00	50.40

Showing 1 to 10 of 30 entries

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Skier	Current Standings	Simulated Standings	Low Range	High Range	Win%	Top 3%	Top 5%	Top 10%

Skier	Current Standings	Simulated Standings	Low Range	High Range	Win%	Top 3%	Top 5%	Top 10%
Jessie Diggins	648	2157.90	1953	2353	54.40	100.00	100.00	100.00
Jonna Sundling	553	2148.00	1907	2378	44.80	100.00	100.00	100.00
Therese Johaug	522	1879.70	1818	1981	0.00	63.20	99.80	100.00
Victoria Carl	565	1841.20	1651	2038	0.00	31.00	93.00	100.00
Frida Karlsson	231	1745.30	1483	1961	0.00	5.40	51.20	99.80
Heidi Weng	394	1730.80	1518	1924	0.00	0.40	44.20	100.00
Astrid Øyre Slind	418	1635.20	1417	1837	0.00	0.00	7.40	97.20
Kerttu Niskanen	323	1600.40	1396	1839	0.00	0.00	3.00	93.80
Ebba Andersson	338	1553.30	1318	1748	0.00	0.00	0.40	90.40
Katharina Hennig	366	1476.20	1266	1714	0.00	0.00	0.00	48.20

Showing 1 to 10 of 30 entries

Davos 2025 Recap

Introduction

Race 1 (Sprint Freestyle)

Race 2 (Distance Classic)

Weekend Recap

Final Season Result Simulations

CATALOG

FRIENDS